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Author Topic: Responding to "Today's Decks"  (Read 2117 times)
AmbivalentDuck
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Exile Ancestral and turn Tiago sideways.

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« on: October 02, 2006, 04:41:03 pm »

If I'm known around here for anything, it's intentionally leaving Ancestral Recall out of a blue deck.  Or maybe making arguments that tend toward the unpopular and technical that take jabs at the lack of innovation in the format, the hubris of its "top" players, and the general focus on making a shiny (Beta, Foil, Asian) deck over an original or groundbreaking deck.  So, this "interesting" if ill-fated tyrade caught my eye.  It's fairly misguided, and the few valid points is makes, it makes "wrong."  So, removing expletives and focussing on arguments:

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They are slow, they are fragile, they do not utilize the power of the best cards in the game.
Grim Long isn't slow.  Nor (arguably) is Fish.  Or even Stax.  Decks that don't win outright immediately can still have already won.  Draining a CC 4+ spell is approximately equivalent to winning, as is turn 1 Trinisphere, Meddling Mage on a win condition (with backup), or Hide/Extract. 

I'm unaware of a less "fragile" format.  Simply put, of all the formats, Vintage has the best hate.  Hands down.  We have Leyline, Wasteland, Balance, Moat (broken in half in any other format, sees almost no play here), Mana Drain (yes, it hoses large spells), Meddling Mage, True Believer, Jotun Grunt, Goblin Welder, Balance, Trinisphere... The list goes on.  We can hate hands, graveyards, big spells, small spells, cards in play, creatures, artifacts, enchantments, lands.  You name it, we have crushing hate against it.  The key is the resource being hated.  It's easy to refill your graveyard after dealing with hate against it.  It's really really hard to recover from the tempo loss caused by Trinisphere, Mana Drain, or Balance.  Don't even bother bringing T2 Gruul Aggro up against Moat.  Modern Vintage decks often rely on their graveyards because it's the easiest resource to restock.  I mean, you restock it by playing spells.  Oh darn.  How inconvenient.  Decks in other formats only *feel* less fragile because the crushing hate isn't available.  (His argument here gets picked up later, he really seems to want a single-minded format.)

As far as ignoring the "most powerful cards in the game..."  Um...which ones?  Balance and Mind Twist?  I'll give you those.  That said, discard/card advantage doesn't mean as much as it used to.  While they're still some of the games best cards, they're not necessarily gamebreaking anymore.  Balance is increasingly situational and Mind Twist too late-game.  In my opinion, Extract, Hide//Seek, Rootwater Thief, and Jester's Cap are the only *obvious* major exclusions in Vintage today, and only because they can singlehandedly win the game for four mana or less.

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First, there's slaver...sucks ass...even though it can do some damage with recurring slaver, it is dependant on welder, which is hated out in every deck.
It doesn't need to recus Slaver.  Vintage decks involve choices.  Some players make good choices, some make better choices, but one turn of making truly *awful* choices can seal the game.  You don't need to feel Slaver lock to lose, you just need to Ancestral your opponent, Waste your own lands, fetch nothing, or Demonic Consultation for Gray Ogre.  Also, by investing cards into hating the Slaver player's graveyard, you're opening yourself up to Tinker->DSC...and you won't be Welding out their DSC due to your own strategy.

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Next there's gifts, which is graveyard loving and is vulnerable to the best graveyard hate card printed, leyline of the void.
I know that agreeing with this comment will make me even more unpopular, but Gifts is overrated.  I can't agree with the *context* of this comment, but I feel safe agreeing with the content.  Gifts has been slow to adapt to both increasingly powerful Fish and combo.  That said, I would *not* rely on Leyline against Gifts.  They're happy to wait 10 turns before bouncing it and comboing out.  And that's *if* you survive the early Tinker->DSC option.  Don't get me wrong, Gifts isn't *bad* by any stretch, but it's not what it once was.  Maybe Tier 1.5-ish.  Certainly no better, if not worse, than Fish.

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Finally, there is stax....which is slow.  It taps shit and makes you sac shit, but can't deal with "blamo, I win" decks.
You mean with Null Rod, Chalice, Trinisphere, In the Eye of Chaos, or Sphere of Resistance?  Remember, IT Tendrils was a variation designed to get around the serious constraint that is Stax-based metas.

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I would love to see some innovation in todays meta, but that seems to be asking too much.  Certain tendrils decks can pack a punch if they can clear the path for a turn 1-2 win, but I don't see many decks posing a resilient threat, as even tendrils can fizzle horribly bad and lose after putzing out.  Where and what are the resilient, consistent, powerhouses of T1 anymore?
It kind of sounds like you're asking for "The Deck," Long.dec, 4x Trini Stax, or maybe even the "good ole' days of Channel Ball?"  I don't know about the rest of the community, but I like designing decks almost as much as I like playing with them.  I don't really enjoy going, "Oh, I won the die roll, now lose to my mad skillz" or "I've only changed two cards in as many years, isn't this deck great!" 




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ErkBek
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A strong play.

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« Reply #1 on: October 02, 2006, 05:01:25 pm »

it was a joke
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AmbivalentDuck
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« Reply #2 on: October 02, 2006, 05:07:29 pm »

*shrug*  Despite the inane comments, it's not entirely useless to discuss *why* they're wrong.

At least I wasn't the only one who fell for it based on the mod comments. 

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brianpk80
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« Reply #3 on: October 02, 2006, 05:29:53 pm »

*shrug*  Despite the inane comments, it's not entirely useless to discuss *why* they're wrong.
At least I wasn't the only one who fell for it based on the mod comments. 

Regardless, you brought up some very good points.  T1, naturally, does have the greatest arsenal of hate in any format.  And incidentally, many of its leading decks are wide open to it.  That's probably why, as I heard before somewhere, the Vintage metagame often simply boils down to Yawgmoth's Will versus Null Rod.

-BPK

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« Reply #4 on: October 02, 2006, 05:32:26 pm »

AmbivalentDuck, the moderators are obligated to address posts that violate the rules, particularly ones that violate multiple rules, regardless of their satirical or facetious nature.  If people want to use this topic as a springboard to talk about the nature of the format or the comparative strengths and weaknesses of the major deck archetypes, that's fine.  But I'd ask that everyone please avoid "It was a joke n00b" / "The mods got pwned, too!" debating.  It won't lead to anything productive.  Thanks.
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« Reply #5 on: October 03, 2006, 01:13:29 am »

...Gifts isn't *bad* by any stretch, but it's not what it once was.  Maybe Tier 1.5-ish.  Certainly no better, if not worse, than Fish.

I think you've got this backwards. Gifts is weakening somewhat relative to fish, but that's because fish has wriggled its way up into the realm of tier 1 decks, not vice versa. If you look at tournament results since July you'll find not only that approximately the same amount of gifts and U/W fish decks have been played, but that they have performed pretty much equally. Both are consistently placing people in the top 8 and top 16 of large events, no less so than any of the other popular decks right now. If that doesn't make a deck "tier 1" I don't know what does.
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AmbivalentDuck
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« Reply #6 on: October 03, 2006, 04:12:43 pm »

...Gifts isn't *bad* by any stretch, but it's not what it once was.  Maybe Tier 1.5-ish.  Certainly no better, if not worse, than Fish.

I think you've got this backwards. Gifts is weakening somewhat relative to fish, but that's because fish has wriggled its way up into the realm of tier 1 decks, not vice versa. If you look at tournament results since July you'll find not only that approximately the same amount of gifts and U/W fish decks have been played, but that they have performed pretty much equally. Both are consistently placing people in the top 8 and top 16 of large events, no less so than any of the other popular decks right now. If that doesn't make a deck "tier 1" I don't know what does.

That argument hinges on whether or not Gifts is over-represented, which is a catch-22.  Once upon a time, there was a game-theory thread on relative representation of decks relative to quality (among other things).  One nearly unanimous conclusion was that the metagame trails the "ideal" relative proportions by a large margin.  I personally think Gifts is overplayed (at registration) and thus over-represented (in the top 8). 

The best way of approaching relative quality is comparing Gifts to *all* of the top tier decks.  My thoughts:

Oath: no change
Slaver: no change
Fish: worse
Tendrils: worse
Stax: better (No Vault vulnerability to Null Rod in the current kill)

Overall, I think that's a decline.  I personally think that losing Flame-Vault killed Gifts.
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« Reply #7 on: October 12, 2006, 08:45:20 pm »

Quote

That argument hinges on whether or not Gifts is over-represented, which is a catch-22.  Once upon a time, there was a game-theory thread on relative representation of decks relative to quality (among other things).  One nearly unanimous conclusion was that the metagame trails the "ideal" relative proportions by a large margin.  I personally think Gifts is overplayed (at registration) and thus over-represented (in the top 8). 

The best way of approaching relative quality is comparing Gifts to *all* of the top tier decks.  My thoughts:

Oath: no change
Slaver: no change
Fish: worse
Tendrils: worse
Stax: better (No Vault vulnerability to Null Rod in the current kill)

Overall, I think that's a decline.  I personally think that losing Flame-Vault killed Gifts.
Quote

How do you feel that fish has gotten worse? Fish absolutely destroys combo/tendrils with mage and true believer and force/stifle backup, slaver is getting easier to shut down with fish, stax is almost a no win for fish of course, oath poses some problems too... but i.m.o. fish has definately gotten better.
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AmbivalentDuck
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Exile Ancestral and turn Tiago sideways.

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« Reply #8 on: October 13, 2006, 01:13:24 pm »

How do you feel that fish has gotten worse? Fish absolutely destroys combo/tendrils with mage and true believer and force/stifle backup, slaver is getting easier to shut down with fish, stax is almost a no win for fish of course, oath poses some problems too... but i.m.o. fish has definately gotten better.

That respresentation isn't amazingly clear, sorry.  I was saying that I thought Gifts had *lost* ground against Fish and Tendrils while getting better against Stax. 

I think your analysis of Fish's matchups is incorrect.  Not that that belongs in this forum.  Urbana Fish (among others) sports a favorable Stax matchup.
« Last Edit: October 13, 2006, 03:41:33 pm by AmbivalentDuck » Logged

A link to the GitHub project where I store all of my Cockatrice decks.
Team TMD - If you feel that team secrecy is bad for Vintage put this in your signature
Any interest in putting together/maintaining a Github Git project that hosts proven decks of all major archetypes and documents their changes over time?
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