So I had a tourney yesterday in Breda (Netherlands). 61 people showed up and I finished 8th... Kind of a disappointing finish as I didn't win anything relevant but still it's nice to make T8 and prove a point haha. I'll write a very short tournament report (I kind of hate tournament reports) and then do some analysis, which is far more relevant.
I played the following list:
6 Mountain
8 Crypt, Lotus, Sol, Moxen (No Mana Vault!)
4 Shop
2 Ancient Tomb
1 Academy
5 StripWaste
4 Welder
4 Trisk
4 Magus
4 Solemn
2 Mox Monkey
2 Karn
4 Tangle Wire
4 Thorn
1 3Sphere
2 Top
1 Jar
2 SoFaI
SB:
3 Heretic
2 REB (kind of meh, I liked them in some games but not sure if they are good enough)
1 Boil (didn't see it, can't judge if it was good or not)
3 T Crypt
1 Relic
3 Flametongue Kavu (unimpressive definately going to change these)
2 Sphere of Resistance
First match against TPS (Martijn van der Vaart)
He told me he knew I was playing Shops, I tried my best to not let him know what I was playing, but I'm not sure it worked out. He led with Delta --> Swamp so I said, aah TPS. He played Thoughtseize. I Stripped his land, he had an Island next turn, but not much after that and I was able to land a Trinisphere and shortly after that a Jar. He scooped when my Jar gave me some beaters and more Spheres. He shouldn't have scooped there as he could still win and I knew what he was playing anyway but I was glad he did.
G2 he played a Goyf, I began to doubt if it was TPS as Goyf is a horrible SB plan against Shops. It dilutes the combo and we are much better at fighting on our terms. Needless to say I easily won this one and was glad he didnt just go for land, land, land --> Rebuild --> win.
Match 2 was against a guy playing Eva Green. He didn't look familair so I tried to gain some info by asking him if he plays Vintage much. He told me mostly played Legacy and borrowed this deck, I put him on an aggressive deck as I didn't think his friends owned Drain, Shop or TPS decks.
Turns out I was right and my hand of lands, Solemn and Tangle Wire and some other stuff was great against him. I won this game pretty easily.
Game 2, I made some bad judgement calls. He started off with Ritual --> Duress and Null Rod. OUCH. I proceed to Waste some of his lands and hope I draw some Shops to overpower him or manascrew him. Alas, he drew more land and could land some Confidants and Goyfs. He kept open his own Wasteland so I figured he might be low on land as he didn't Waste my Shop. I drew my Welders and Solemns too late to matter so on to g3.
Game 3: I open Sol Ring, Shop, Trinisphere.. Wow. Next turn, Solemn. Next turn Wire + SoFaI + equip. Next turn Wasteland. He couldn't even have cast his Edicts as he never had 3 mana available. I felt kind of bad for him, but it happens.
Match 3: I played against Frank in an epic match.
I got bad information from Duncan that he played either Drain Tendrills or Sui Black. He opened with a Bloodstained Mire --> Swamp --> Top and I immediately put him on Sui Black as I didn't think Drain Tendrills would open that way. I had Shop, 2 Wastes, Thorn, Solemn and Top in hand. I didn't want to expose my Shop to Wasteland and therefore I led by Waste --> Top. Turns out he played TPS and he went bananas on me. Had I played the Thorn I would have won. I was very angry at myself but when I look back I think I don't think I didn't necessarily made a mistake there.
Game 2, I crushed him with Spheres and Wires and stuff I can't remember.
Game 3 was epic. I feared that he was going to kill me and he had 2 Confidants in play very quickly. I was able to land a Thorn, he played an Energy Flux. I wasn't too worried as I never really cared for Energy Flux much. I had Red Blast for Flux but decided to let it stick as he was forced to sac his two Moxen. I then Blasted it and he used Chain of Vaport on the Flux in response. Note that he was taking massive damage from the Confidants and the Mana Crypt he had. I was happy, as I just landed my third Sphere and he couldn't cast his Flux anytime soon anyway. He managaed to stick his Energy Flux again, but I had Welder and enough mana thanks to Solemn to get around it. Turns were called, I landed a Wire. I would have killed him with Karn next turn but he died to his own Crypt. I wasn't sure if he could have killed me on his turn but I was very happy to won this epic game. Frank had some unfortunate flips on his Crypt and Confidants so I felt bad for him, it might have been a draw had he been a little bit more lucky. I felt he didn't deserve a draw as he played terribly slow. I wanted to call a judge, but I really like Frank so I decided against it. Seriously Frank van Rijn, if you read this, I love you man

, we had tons of fun after the tourney playing EDH and Ichorid vs. Shops. He didn't believe me when I told him Ichorid was my best matchup, so we played. I crushed him. 7-1 in games. We were trashtalking all the time and had a great time.
Match 4: against my buddy Duncan playing GWSX. We discussed drawing, but decided against it as we would throw away a point that way. We agreed on splitting the prize in T8 if one of us didn't make it as we didn't want to be one of us to be disappointed.
G1: He won the dieroll, went turn 1 Ritual --> Necropotence. He played his Necro correctly and didn't draw 17 cards right away. I tried to fight him but to no avail. He mini Tendrillsed me and drew thanks to that could even more cards of Necro. I mean he drew the nuts and when that happens there's nothing you can do.
G2: Questionable hand in my opening 7, 3 Moxen (no Ruby), Top, Karn, Welder and Solemn or something. Would you keep that? I didn't want to risk it, I knew his matchup was decent against me and if I didn't add pressure he could beat me unmolested. Sure, if there was good stuff in my top 3 I could win, but I really didn't want to risk it and hoped for a better 6.
The next 6 were even more questionable, 2 Wastes, 1 Mountain, 2 Welders and 2 Spheres I believe. Anyway, I had to try that, open with Welder and he has tons of artifact acceleration so my Spheres didn't hurt him. Perhaps I should have mulled to 5, but instead I was hoping for him to mull or not have 3 artifact accelerators in his hand. This was a game where I might have won if Wires were Chalices.
Okay, wow need to play my very best to make it now.
Round 5 vs Gerwin: The mirror. I spoke about the deck with him earlier and he just copied my post from Themanadrain I believe. So I knew we were up for the mirror against a decent player. Knewing I was in the mirror, I kept a hand without Moxen and that had no disruption but rather some beatsticks. He did keep a hand with a Thorn and I couldn't care any less. I overwhelmed him with a Solemn and maybe SoFaI I can't remember and Magus. He probably should have mulliganned, but I don't know the contents of his hand.
Game 2: He leads with Shaman. I debate on wheter to just lead with land or open with Shop, Sol Ring, Solemn. I was afraid he could eat my Sol Ring and Waste my land and I was history but I decided to go for it anyway. He plays Heretic instead of eating my Sol Ring. I have 3 Kavu and 4 Triskelion in my deck so I hope to draw one of them quickly otherwise I probably won't be able to overcome Heretic. I draw; it's Triskelion NICE! I debate on wheter to shoot his Heretic but actually I know the correct answer from the start and shoot his Heretic. He lays down 2 Welders, ok these arent too scary yet but he now has the dynamic duo of Welder and Shaman. He can eat my Mox and then trade them with my artifacts.. Luckily my next topdeck yields yet another Trisk, I 3 for 1 him and he can never overcome the card advantage and scoops them up a few turns after that. Phew, dodged that bulet.
I am 4th in the standings and figure I can draw in as I have the highest resistance of the people with 12 points. I end up in 8th seed despite having the highest resistance before, I'm kind of pissed off as I now need to win the the quarterfinals to get an attractive price. The rest could at least have Ethersworn Cannonist + textless Cryptic Command or a Plateau while I got 4 Tormods Crypt and a russian Hyppo legend..
So T8:
I lose to Steffen van Veen. Quite possibly the best Vintage player in Holland. This was a terrible matchup, he played Tezzeret with an Oath sideboard. To make matters worse he also wins the die roll. I try not to let it influence me but when he leads with land, Mox, Lotus, Scroll into Recall while all I can muster is wasting his land, my heart kind of sinks. I just hope he has to spend his Lotus to play the Recall. He does, but unfortunately draws into land and is able to use his mana floating on TfK. He then proceeds to have Drain and FoW for everything relevant I try to play and wins off Vault/Key. I hope he fails to sac his Crypt to the Tinker he uses to find the Key, but he obviously sees it and I scoop them up as I know his deck and winconditions from scouting anyway. In hindsight I maybe should have forced him to play it out and maybe get a shot at beating him if he forgets to activate his Key. Now that I type this up I feel kind of bad, I think you should always let the Vault/Key player play it out unless you are running out of time. I am amazed I didn't figure that out during the match we played.
I was expecting him to board in the Oath plan against me and sideboard accordingly. I believe I had to mulligan once and then keep a hand with Shop, Saph, Top, Thorn, Mox Monkey and another land. Nice! I'm liking my odds here, but he obviously has the FoW + blue card for my Thorn. He then has turn 1 Oath. My heart sinks, how am I ever going to overcome this? I spin my Top in the hopes of something good, but I just don't have a plan for this. I'm hoping to lock him out with Tangle Wire + Welder and hopefully he will get Colossus time after time and I can keep Welding it back. I'm running out of counters as he plays more permanents and gets Emepryal Archangels in play. It's just an uphill battle and I maybe could have won if I played extremely tight and got extremely lucky but I haven't played enough against Oath to know how to pull it off. In hindsight, I realize that he probably didn't have Forbidden Orchards anywhere in his 75, so it might have been better to just keep piling up Tangle Wires and Spheres and hopefully finish him off once Karn hits. I'm kind of pissed at myself when I type this up as I would have been a superhero if I was able to drag that game out. Anyway realistically speaking I don't think I really had a shot anyway, as playing that way would also require him to not draw Tinker or Vault/Key and also not draw into his artifact disruption and not have any counters.
Boy this has turned out much larger than I expected. I really think this report is worthwhile to read when you pick up the deck as I focussed a lot on the plays that mattered and disregarded the stuff that was obvious. I think I played pretty tight all day long and outplayed many of my opponents throughout the day. I have to note that I had my fair share of luck, but unfortunately that luck ended in the quarters.
What I would change:
Tangle Wire was great, especially in a meta full of aggro and random decks such as my own. Chalice would also have been great but we only have 60 slots. Magus was mediocre for me throughout the day and it's possible that replacing him Chalice and then reworking the manabase to fit in Factories would be better.
I'm not sure if omitting Mana Vault was right or not, I never really have mana issues, so I think the extra spell was probably better.
I was hoping for Karn to block some Inkwells but it turns out that most people chose to play Colossus over Inkwell after all and I actually think they are right about that choice. That said, Karn is awesome, definately play 2!
The sideboard kind of sucked.
Flametongue Kavu was never really relevant. The point is and I kind of expected this: when you have mana against aggressive decks you are going to win anyway. 3R is hard to reach against aggro and when you do you might as well cast Trisks, Solemens, Welders, Swords, Wires and Karns and beat them anyway. Focus should be more on getting more mana against Fish and less on removing annoying creatures. That means, we must be able to beat Null Rod so probably artifact destruction is our best bet here. Maybe Razormane Masticore can be decent as well.
I never saw the Boil so I don't know if it was any good. People laughed at me for playing Boil, but I really don't care. I did side in in a couple of times though.
REB's were dead sometimes and were decent other times. I was never truly impressed by REB but it wasn't awful either.
Heretic is good, he's here to stay. He's very solid against Shop (though I didn't see it). He's solid against Fish (takes care of Null Rod and maybe Moxen, Factories or Jittes).
Spheres were solid. They are needed against Storm.
Never needed the Tormod's Crypts. The Relic was pretty good as I can side it in against decks with Welder or Storm decks and when I don't need the GY removal I can just cycle it. I'm not sure we want more than one though as they are kind of clunky in multiples and Tormod's Crypt is leagues better against Ichorid, though that MU is so incredibly favored I'm not even sure we need a board against them.
I'm going to test out Greater Gargadon and see if it's any good against aggressive decks as in that case I might put them in the sideboard to improve my Oath matchup. Otherwise I'm going to put in some Caps. But I'm still not convinced if the Caps are that good, imagine I would have boarded them in against Martijn playing TPS g1, I would focus all my resources activating the Cap and then I would probably get crushed by his Goyfs as he can win the attrition war after that. In any case we just absolutely need to have a plan against Oath and we want a plan against them that also helps to improve other matchups. In any case, this tournament leaves me with plenty to chew on and I next time my deck will be even better! So be prepared Dutch Vintage players out there

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Also, I saw the lists Smmenen typed up for Waterbury and WOW everyone is playing Tez in the US. I can definately understand you guys want Null Rod maindeck. In Holland however, the metagame is much more diverse, we have Oath, Tez, TPS, Fish, Shop, Christmas Beatings, Remora and more aggro decks running around. Null Rod sucks against a whole lot of decks so I don't really want Null Rod in this metagame.
Anyway, this deck is here to stay. I made 2 consecutive T8's with it finishing second with 40+ people and now 8th (stupid tiebreakers!) with 60 people. Duncan finished 2nd with this deck in the GP side event in Chicago proving that Dutch people know how to playt his game, so yeah I think this deck is pretty much upper tier now. That said, I still have a hard time beating the very good Drain and TPS players. This deck punishes people for even making the slightest mistakes but if your opponent plays near flawless they can navigate through your hate. Note that 95% of the players do not play flawless, so you should have an easy time making T8 with this deck most of the time but it's much harder to win the whole thing when you meet the very strong players in T8. Also, people underestimate the skill it takes to pilot this deck. I came very well prepared to this event and it really showed, while two other red shop players who didn't nearly have the experience I do with the deck, failed to make T8. I just wanted to get this off my chest as some people told me it didn't take any skill to pilot the deck at the tournament and I felt kind of insulted by those remarks.
Boy this has turned out much longer than I had envisioned but I hope this post was worth all the effort!
Feedback and I told you so's are appreciated!
- Guus de Waard aka Mantis.